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Pharmaceutical Industry: An Asian Perspective

Overview and Future Direction

-Rhenu K. Bhuller, Regional Research Manager


Measurement

2000

7

Population

3.2 billion

Up

Population growth rate

1.2%

Stable

Birth rate

20.9

Down

Mortality rate

7.7

Down

Infant mortality rate

50.4

Down

Average life expectancy – male

64.7 years

Up

Average life expectancy - female

67.3 years

Up

Percentage >64 years

6.5%

Up

Per capita HC Exp

$158

Up

Total healthcare expenditure

$447 billion

Up

Number of physicians

3.2 million

Up

Number of hospitals

48,200

Up

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Figure 2: Asia Demographics

Figure 3: Percentage of aging population (> 55 years in 2000)

Cost containment inevitable

On the other hand, cost containment due to increasing healthcare costs as well as insurance and reimbursement are issues that are being scrutinized in every country. Total healthcare expenditure in Asia stood at $463 billion in 2001, with a per capita healthcare expenditure of $162. This is strongly influenced by Australia, Japan and New Zealand, all of which had per capita expenditures of more than $1,000 in 2001, followed by Singapore at $857. Countries with increasing healthcare expenditure are China, India and Korea. Japan already has very high healthcare expenditure and has strong pricing reforms in place. Australia, Thailand and Taiwan also have strict reimbursement systems and control prices of products. With skyrocketing healthcare costs, it is expected that health authorities in most Asian countries will implement some form of pricing control while simultaneously boosting the local manufacturing industry. Figure 4 shows the total private and government healthcare expenditure of various countries in Asia Pacific.

Figure 4: Total healthcare expenditure, Asia Pacific (2001)

Market Drivers and Restraints

Drivers are factors that contribute to market growth while restraints do the exact opposite and contribute to market decline. Multiple drivers and restraints act at the same time in any given market and have a differing impact over time.

Pushing the market – Drivers in Asia

  1. Asia’s aging population and longer life expectancies promote larger markets for lifestyle diseases, maintenance drugs and drugs for old age diseases, which are generally high value drugs and increase the revenues of the market.

  2. Direct to consumer marketing through electronic media increases reach, contact and relationship with patients providing the opportunity for companies to gain brand recognition.

  3. The setting up of local clinical trial bases strengthens drug efficacy data towards Asian patients thereby gaining end-user confidence and providing the opportunity to enlarge the user base. Singapore has internationally recognized clinical trial centers. Multi national companies have been attracted to conduct local clinical trials in China due to its huge population base. It is estimated that over 40 clinical trials for Class I new drugs sponsored by around 30 multinational pharmaceutical companies are currently being conducted throughout China. Clearly international pharmaceutical companies are driving China from simply a drug selling market into a clinical trial base. This will boost growth opportunities.

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